FYROM could soon be a subject to the Albanian separatist violence now that the country has decided to cancel a gathering of regional sovereign states after Romania, Serbia and Bosnia launched a protest over presence of Kosovo Albanian separatists at the gathering in Ohrid.
Macedonian President George Ivanov said that the meeting was cancelled to “protect the interests of the state and the dignity of Macedonia” and that “Macedonia does not want to be a participant in the game with vetoes, least of all boycotts”.
Ivanov’s statement may be reasonable but offering reason to the Albanian Muslim separatists who only understand violence is like offering a feather to scratch an itch. As a result, it is reasonable to expect that some sort of a violent response by the Albanian Muslim “minority” in Macedonia should be on the way soon as a response for this indirect withdrawal of FYROM’s recognition of Kosovo.
The so-called Ohrid Summit stipulates that only recognized sovereign states are allowed to participate, so FYROM’s cancellation over Kosovo, whatever the reason, is first and foremost that country’s de-recognition of Kosovo as an independent state. As a result, Albanian Muslim separatists in the region are likely to launch violence against FYROM to assure that the country gets in line with their demands while whining how FYROM allegedly does not respect Albanian rights.
Another dimension of this cancellation is the subtle shift in the regional geopolitics. Up until now, FYROM was an obedient pet to the EU and US demands in the region who demand that their subjects approve all and any Albanian Muslim separatist demands. In this particular case, both EU and US have sided with the Albanian separatists as EU accused Serbia of violating Brussels agreement and a “European spirit” while US issued a rather lukewarm “disappointment” that FYROM has cancelled an event, aka, withdrawn recognition of Kosovo.
Therefore, FYROM’s de-recognition of Kosovo means that the country has implicitly sided with the Romania-Serbia regional axis and thus, informally, extending the axis down towards Athens. Bulgaria, which has been garnering a particularly anti-Serb regional policy given its Slavic-Orthodox culture, could soon change its policy now that Serbia is harnessing good relations with Turkey, which itself has unresolved issues with Bulgaria and its territory.
Finally, Montenegro may soon have to decide its position in the region because it is becoming increasingly squeezed by Albania and Croatia. Montenegro, whose smaller Adriatic coast may be subject to Croatia’s and Albania’s joint aims at naval supremacy in the Adriatic may find such aims inconvenient for verity of reasons, some of which may include presence of lot of Russian money.
Meanwhile, FYROM itself is increasingly in a divisive position given that parts of its country are dominated by local Albanian Muslims who have consolidated power on all local levels in the west of the country and have kept the government paralyzed by holding key government positions for its separatist representatives.
Finally, it should be kept in mind that all of the Albanian separatist action in the region is coordinated by Albania itself whose secret service agents, developed during its communist era, have been deployed in the region in order to destabilize all of the states it borders with an aim of annexing those regions. In Kosovo, for example, Hashim Thaci is the direct link to Albania’s secret service arm, Shërbimi Informativ Shtetëror, while numerous Albania agents in FYROM have formal and informal links with various figures that are in the public or run underground mafia cells.
Any violence in FYROM, therefore, could happen at a whim of a finger of Tirana bosses.